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Misc

Snow on the Brain

I made a mistake.

On Friday evening, I told the boy it was supposed to snow the next day, which now is yesterday- Saturday. Not only did I tell him but I foolishly parroted more or less the exact forecast down to the start time and amounts. I may as well have told him that a second Christmas had been scheduled.

He spent the rest of that evening double checking that it was still going to snow. It was as if he’d decided that he needed to maintain vigilance on the matter, lest the foretold events not come to pass. He double checked the snowfall amounts, the start time, the end time. He was particularly fascinated by the end time, confirming on multiple occasions that the snow would end Sunday morning at 7, rather than Saturday morning at 7 (even though the start time wasn’t supposed to be until Saturday morning at 11).

When he woke up on yesterday, he wanted to look at a weather map and ensure that it was still supposed to snow. Perhaps he was concerned that his 10 hour slumber had allowed the probability fields to shift such that no snow was coming, or not as much, or- worst of all- that it would fall as rain.

It finally started in the mid-afternoon hours. I happened to look out and the first sporadic flakes were falling. Big, fluffy cotton balls from the sky that disintegrated on contact with the ground. I pointed outside and made a face like the people from Invasion of the Body Snatchers. Both kids laughed, but then the boy rushed to look at the thermometer, wanting to make sure it would not turn to rain.

The start of the snow was the end of the worrying. The boy was noticeably more relaxed as the snowfall proceeded through the afternoon. His vigilance and wishing was paying off. It was now only a question of “How much?” not “Will it?” But the “How much?” question is more pleasant to fret over. It’s like momentum- once getting things moving, they tend to want to stay that way. Now that the snow was falling and the hard part was over.

By the time they went to bed, there was about 6 inches on the ground. The boy had been monitoring the situation and was keenly aware the amount now exceeded the prediction I’d given him the day before. Even better- the snow continued to fall without any sign of letting up. He went to bed easily, dreaming of snowmen, snowballs and sledding.

Here’s what he awoke to:

All pictures courtesy of the Wife and her Canon EOS60D.

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First Snow

An early snow again this year. We didn’t get hit too hard here and right now it’s raining a little. The storm overall ended up being a little weaker here than I expected, with the winds dieing down in the evening. The trees were frosted last night with a light coating of snow, but it looks like the rain this morning removed it all.

It’s been pretty chilly for awhile now. I’ve been running the wood stove continuously for the past 4 days or so. Luckily, it’s supposed to let up over the next several days- the current burn rate on the wood supply is pretty high.

Oh, the kids got an early dismissal out of the deal. They also got a 2-hour delay this morning as a bonus. At least they don’t count as a day off. At the current rate of school cancellations, they’d have to stay in school into July.

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Cold

Wow- 19 this morning when I got up. It’s no record, but it’s pretty chilly for this time of year. The past couple of days have all been cold and its been the first time I’ve run the fireplace continually since last Winter. And tomorrow, we’ve supposedly got a Nor’easter on the way, though I don’t imagine it’ll be bringing the snow.

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Misc

Not Totally Unscathed

We didn’t lose power again overnight. At one point, though, I could have sworn I heard a tree go down fairly close to us. I went out and had a look around, but didn’t see anything immediately around the house, so I let it be. Shortly after the power came back on, the storm seemed to start winding down, with a noticeable drop off in the wind.

Fast forward to this morning and the kids are watching Thor, the movie they started last night before the power loss so rudely interrupted them. The door bell rings and it’s some fella driving around helping people out with downed trees.

Turns out, we had this sitting across our driveway:

In the end, pretty mild stuff really though an inconvenience to be sure. Especially when compared to what happened in New York.

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Misc

Checking In

We’re still here. We even have power, for the moment.

So far, Sandy has been more or less as advertised. The winds are noticeably stronger now with some serious gusts as well, probably consistent in th 30mph range with gusts above 40. The rain started falling early in the afternoon, but it hasn’t been torrential. Just a steady, wind-driven rain that’s a bit cold.

A friend came over and I helped him take that tree down that the beaver had attacked. We were both drenched by the end of the operation because we ended up out there right when the rain started to come in steady. It was actually pretty cool. He anchored it with a come-along and a chain to another tree to help guide it’s fall, then he cut a wedge out on the side we wanted it to fall. Finally, he cut straight into it from the other side and then we hammered wedges into the cut to push it over. It fell right where we wanted it.

The diciest moment came after he cut the wedge. The wind really kicked in at that point and we just kept our fingers crossed that it wouldn’t be enough to start the tree going in a direction we didn’t want. Fortunately, it held.

Now I’ve got more firewood.

So at this point, we’re within an hour or so of Sandy making landfall in Southern New Jersey. If we can make it through the next several hours, then there’s a decent chance we make it without power loss. We know there are a lot of people around without power at this point- the Wife’s parents lost power in RI and we have friends closer to RI that have already lost power. We’ve also heard of other people in town here who have already lost power.

The kids are managing OK for the moment. The lass was complaining about an upset stomach, which we’re thinking might be more nerve related than anything.

Power starting to flicker. Time to go.

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Misc

Waiting on Sandy

Well, we’ve done what we can to prepare for the storm. With the exception of taking that tree down that the beaver took to. Hopefully, he’s hunkered down and won’t be back to finish the job.

It’s kind of a strange situation to be in. As I write this, Sandy has not yet started her Westward turn towards the coast, specifically New Jersey according to every model out there. The news channels cut into the programming every half-hour or so to update on the situation and also serve notice of other news worthy emergency items. At this point, Connecticut is getting set to all but shut down tomorrow in anticipation of what’s to come.

I’m sitting here watching the Sunday night game between the Saints and the Broncos (it’s 14-7, FWIW). I have no idea how much the situation will degrade overnight. It’s a craps shoot whether we’ve got power I suppose. I’m hoping for a cup of coffee in the morning at least, maybe even a couple of eggs.

It’s kind of a weird situation to be in. We’re basically all hunkered down, expecting a mess tomorrow. I’ll admit to still having some lingering doubts about this forecast- it just seems like there are too many moving parts for the weather guys to be so sure. The irony is, it would be better if they were wrong, in some ways because it means a lot of lives won’t be affected. But then that would affect they’re credibility, because they went big and were wrong. On the other hand, if they’re right, a lot of people will be affected, but their credibility will be enhanced.

It’s just drizzling outside for now, with some occasional gusts probably in the 20’s. All of our deck furniture is tucked away and the yard stuff cleaned up. We don’t normally have the cars in our garage, but we made room and both have been parked inside. We’ve caught up on all the laundry, filled water bottles and thermos and bathtubs (for flushing toilets). We don’t have a generator, so we moved some items from our fridge freezer into our deep freezer in the event of an extended power outage.

So for now, it’s just the waiting game. The kids are asleep right now, but the boy is nervous so we may have a midnight visitor if things get noisy overnight. I’ll be blogging if I can tomorrow, but no guarantees.

Sandy is supposed to run her course by Wednesday. Hopefully, we’ll be back well before then.

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Misc

April Fools?

After all the warm weather from a week ago, it was bit disappointing that I had to get back into the fire-starting routine at night to keep the house from getting to chilled. Today isn’t the coldest day, but when I woke up this morning there was a fresh layer of snow on the ground.

As I type this, it’s continuing to snow, albeit at a pretty pedestrian pace. In light of tomorrow’s date, it seemed a bit like Mother Nature has been playing a fast one on us, what with all the warm weather and now having it snow. Yay Spring!

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Misc

FDOS?

As I type this, the temp outside is 50. It’s not too surprising, really, since the Winter has been pretty mild. An early shot of Spring has been a high probability for awhile now.

Still, it’s a little disappointing to see even the mild temperatures yield so early.

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Misc

That Would Be Nice Actually

Looks like the furball saw his shadow. 6 more weeks of Winter, supposedly.

It would be welcome if Winter actually arrived for a bit. Perhaps he meant “6 more weeks until Winter”? Even the kids have noticed because there hasn’t been much snow. The boy is hoping for the extended time because he wants more snow. The lass is in agreement.

I guess I am too. Does that mean I’m still a kid at heart?

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Misc

First Snow

Well, I guess we can’t complain about “no snow” this year. Something of a surprise as well since none of the forecasts I’d seen indicated as much.

We got a call at 5AM from the town that school was delayed 2 hours. So basically, if any snow falls it’s an automatic delay it would seem. There’s barely 3 inches out there.

It’s supposed to warm up and rain this afternoon, so it will be short lived. Too bad.

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Misc

Cold

As I type this, it’s 6 degrees outside which officially qualifies as cold. Yesterday, the temp never got out of the teens here at the house.

This Winter has been pretty warm, especially when compared with last year. I’ve gone through a fraction of the cord wood by comparison as this sort of cold has been an anomaly rather than the norm. That just makes the cold seem all the harsher since we acclimate to the general temps we’re dealt with and single digits is well outside the norm we’ve been dealing with.

Otherwise, I’ve noticed that the forecasts have tended to be overestimating actual highs and underestimating the actual lows, lately. From my own observations, that means a change in the predominant pattern; whether that means temps more like last year, or temps that are just more winter-like remains to be seen.

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Misc

First Snow

It ended up not being the big event originally forecast for our area. The heavy stuff fell well to our West. None the less, it is the “First Snow” of the season (even though it’s still early Fall!) and it was record breaking as well.

The first 2 pics are from earlier this morning before the stuff on the trees had melted.

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Misc

More Rain

Seeing as how we’re already 7 or 8 inches above normal rainfall for the year (can’t find a useful link, but I remember seeing it on a local weather report), today’s rain will be very much welcomed around these here parts. What would we do without it? Besides cut the grass that is.

Maybe I should start building an ark.

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Misc

Waiting on Jack Frost

We’re so far ahead this year on rainfall totals, that we could go from now until the end of the year without any rain and we’d still end up, like 7″ above normal. According to the local weather talking-head, we’re closing in on a record for yearly rainfall. Just another 10″ or so should do it. If the current pattern holds, we should be there by the end of October.

While it’s nice for lawns and such, one problem all that rain has created is a large bug population. In particular, mosquitoes and those little biting flies. Even though the heat of the Summer is gone, the bugs have remained well past their usual time and it sucks to go outside. I’ve been bitten more in the past week-and-a-half than the entire Summer preceding. I guess that’s one thing the Summer heat is OK at- making sure the puddles and standing water dry up so that the bug breeding program is kept in check to a degree. With the heat gone, the puddles remain and the bug thrive.

Clearly, we need a frost or two to take a machete to the problem. Luckily, we may get just exactly that a little later this week. Though it’s supposed to warm up again for the weekend. Still, I’ll take what we can get at this stage. I’m tired of breathing bugs.

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Misc

Change

I think today has to be the unofficial first day of fall. Temps this morning were in the low 40’s and temps right now have fallen below 50. It was cool all day. All we need is some color in the leaves and we’re good to go.

The boy got good news today. His teeth are holding the correction and the orthodontist should be able to take them off during our next visit. He took a panoramic x-ray of his jaw (very cool technology BTW- all the incoming adult teeth are visibly obvious) just to make sure there weren’t any obvious problems with the incoming adult teeth. I think he’ll be happy to have them off, but sad he doesn’t get to choose the colors that cover the braces.

Our new couch arrived today. The kids were so excited it’s hard to describe it appropriately. While they were in school I moved the old couch into the basement; leaving a big open area in the family room. When the lass came home, she ran around the space just because she could, squealing with delight. You’d think she’d never been in the room before. Or any room period for that matter. When I picked the boy up from school, the first question out of his mouth was whether the couch had arrived. When he got home, he also ran around the room. When the couch finally arrived, they were the first ones on it. Who knew couches were such a hit?

Both kids have soccer tomorrow. It’ll be the lass’ second practice and the boy’s first game. It’s supposed to be a beautiful Fall day.

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Misc

Tropical Storm Irene?

I’d seen this earlier, but I hadn’t seen any follow-up until now. There appears to be decent evidence that “Hurricane” Irene was never, in fact, a hurricane. At least, not at any point where she made landfall. In fact, it appears that once it cleared the Carolina’s, it was barely a tropical storm.

The theory also does a neat job of explaining why the storm surge failed to materialize as expected: the winds weren’t strong enough.

I’ll be curious to see if this gets any traction from the likes of The Weather Channel or The National Weather Service. It doesn’t change the fact that Irene did do damage once she made landfall. But it is important from a decision making standpoint, allowing the people in charge to determine the appropriate actions to take in preparation for the storm, as the above link points out. It’ll also be a serious blackeye for the “over hyping” of weather. As such, I expect this to be quietly swept under the rug, if it’s dealt with at all.

One more thing: if the storm really was as weak as the evidence suggests, I’d say it’s even more damning for our local power company, whom seems to be pretty hamfisted in terms of getting power back on in a timely manner. They’ve already cost a lot of kids an entire week of school, in addition to all the other frustrations being without power entails. Makes me shudder to consider the results if Irene really had been a hurricane when she got here.

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Misc

Hurricane Irene- Less and More

In the end, I did more damage to our yard than Irene.

After losing power at 9AM Sunday morning, we just had it come back on about half-an-hour ago. I was in the middle of making a comment to the Wife when we both heard an electronic beep and then the house roared back to life. The furnace fired, toilets started running as the water pump kicked on, the refrigerator and freezer compressors fired up, we had light. It was more than a little shocking since, after talking with folks around town, it was starting to sound like it might not happen until later in the week. I’m still wondering if it might only be temporary.

The last I saw, Irene was tracking further west and weakening faster than the early predictions indicated. I think that trend might have accelerated as I’d guess we had wind gusts some where in the 50’s with sustained winds around 30 at the peak of the storm. The rain also pretty much ended around noon on Sunday.

Not that I’m complaining. I’m glad I experienced it because it gives me something to go on for the next time.

The kids ended up managing just fine. They actually got kind of bored with the whole thing and started asking wondering why it wasn’t worse and when it would be done. Explaining that it’s a good thing that it wasn’t worse by telling them just how much worse it could have been had the desired effect. Unfortunately, we were equally anxious for it all to end, so there was no satisfaction there.

As far as damage goes, it was pretty much mild to non-existent. Downed limbs and the like with a couple of spots around town where trees came down on power lines. I saw one tree that hand landed on someone’s deck when it fell, but that was it.

We barely lost any food either. Just a couple of things from our refrigerator freezer. Although, if the power outage had lasted longer, the toll would’ve climbed substantially I’d wager.

In our yard, we basically had limbs and a few larger branches. I pulled out the chainsaw to chop of one of the branches to make it easier to deal with. Once I had the chainsaw in my hands, I decided now was as good a time as any to take care of some other problem shrubberies. That ended up taking longer than cleaning up the stuff from Irene.

But I’m OK with that.

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Misc

Not As Bad As Expected

The winds started up around 2AM this morning, as well as heavier rain. Even so, it hasn’t been too bad. Looking at the radar images, Irene is further to our West than the original forecast. Irene is already a minimal Cat 1 hurricane and she hasn’t reached New York yet, so she’s going to be a lot weaker than expected as well. That’s all to the good.

The state is basically shutdown. Towns have closed roads all over and I-95 and the Merritt Parkway are closed. Frankly, I can’t imagine why people would be out driving in this weather, but there’s always some yahoo somewhere I guess. The state has further imposed a tractor trailer ban. The state has about 250,000 power outages at this point and that will likely continue to increase. School has been cancelled for tomorrow pretty much all over.

The worst is yet to come, but I’m more optimistic than before for us getting through this with minimal damage. The sustained winds haven’t been bad so far, the gusts have been pretty good, probably into the 40 mph range. One tree has sustained damage to its top, with most of it’s leaves stripped. Other than that, no damage to speak of.

The kids slept through the night. Getting them to bed was the hardest part, but the fact that the brunt of the storm hadn’t arrived meant there wasn’t anything to actively feed their anxiety, so they slept well. The lass finally came down as I’m typing, as did the boy. One good thing about the timing is that the worst of the storm will hit during daylight hours, so this won’t be some faceless nemesis in the dark for them to deal with. They’ll be able to watch it come and go. With a little luck, watching it go will reinforce to them that bad times do, in fact, come to and end.

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Misc

The Waiting Begins

A little different from yesterday, huh? A mere 24 hours later and suddenly it doesn’t look so great. Though still, it could just be another cloudy day.

I flipped the picnic table over so wind couldn’t get under it and lift it while the umbrella is now in the garage and the chairs are under the deck, also upside down. All the plants are in the garage or the house. The grill has been moved into the alcove area between our garage and the house, along with some deck chairs.

We’ve pretty much done everything we can at this stage. The best news we’ve heard so far is that Irene has already “weakened” to a Cat 1 storm. The not so good news is that’s how she’s expected to remain until she hits Connecticut sometime in the early AM tomorrow. It’s all a matter of “How fast?” and “Where?” at this point.

We’ve had a little sprinkling at this point, but nothing intense. That’ll change, no doubt. The Wife was out a bit this morning and said that, even though everything was picked over, there was no mad rush. I observed the same yesterday. So, even though the news stories are all about the madness before the storm, let it be said that in north-eastern CT we calmly went about our business of getting ready. No panic, no fuss, no muss.

For now, all there is to do is wait.

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Misc

Fall in the Air?

Yesterday was just fantastic weather wise, high 70’s and dry with nary a cloud in the sky and today’s supposed to be more of the same. The only thing marring it was my annual late-Summer allergy affliction which finally reared its ugly head late yesterday. A bummer to be sure, because it was so late in coming this year I started to believe I was going to get a free pass.

But checking the longer range forecast, highs are forecast for mid-to-upper 70’s for the most part, with a couple days of low 80’s. Even for late August, that’s highly unusual. More typically, this has been mid-to-late September kind of weather.

My sense tells me that we’re gonna get another round of heat because, well, we always do. But there’s a niggling doubt telling me the Summer has packed it in. That’s because, even without a lot of rain, it’s really been an unusually cool Summer to my mind. The pattern this year has been for a few days of heat followed by many more days of relief. In recent years, the relief has been brief while the heat has stuck around to make life very uncomfortable. The humidity has sucked, like always, though.

As with any amateur weather forecasting, I reserve the right to be wrong. But I’ve still got my cord wood and pellets on order. Best to be prepared.